Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.052659 0.057195 0.061789 0.066782 0.072050 0.077435 0.083348
2025-06-01 0.045374 0.051786 0.058496 0.066016 0.074185 0.082764 0.092432
2025-06-08 0.041470 0.049415 0.057967 0.067799 0.078737 0.090476 0.103975
2025-06-15 0.037905 0.047023 0.057094 0.068943 0.082405 0.097128 0.114351
2025-06-22 0.034652 0.044665 0.055996 0.069614 0.085383 0.102920 0.123747
2025-06-29 0.031563 0.042224 0.054573 0.069714 0.087559 0.107708 0.131966
2025-07-06 0.029927 0.041356 0.054864 0.071710 0.091858 0.114897 0.142943
2025-07-13 0.027183 0.038922 0.053103 0.071110 0.092982 0.118322 0.149522
2025-07-20 0.025146 0.037218 0.052099 0.071308 0.094965 0.122691 0.157173
2025-07-27 0.023735 0.036209 0.051866 0.072375 0.097943 0.128211 0.166179
2025-08-03 0.022691 0.035597 0.052071 0.073937 0.101496 0.134414 0.176020
2025-08-10 0.020109 0.032759 0.049268 0.071564 0.100067 0.134503 0.178451
2025-08-17 0.018428 0.031085 0.047946 0.071076 0.101020 0.137564 0.184596
2025-08-24 0.016906 0.029537 0.046708 0.070628 0.101973 0.140600 0.190713
2025-08-31 0.016410 0.029432 0.047402 0.072716 0.106182 0.147709 0.201894
2025-09-07 0.015696 0.028956 0.047549 0.074053 0.109415 0.153612 0.211622
2025-09-14 0.014858 0.028237 0.047315 0.074842 0.111919 0.158597 0.220230
2025-09-21 0.013887 0.027251 0.046648 0.074999 0.113561 0.162479 0.227465
2025-09-28 0.013577 0.027274 0.047417 0.077131 0.117831 0.169738 0.238995
2025-10-05 0.012502 0.026007 0.046251 0.076518 0.118399 0.172224 0.244483
2025-10-12 0.011734 0.025189 0.045703 0.076739 0.120062 0.176112 0.251758
2025-10-19 0.011259 0.024825 0.045809 0.077869 0.122951 0.181596 0.261089
2025-10-26 0.010943 0.024711 0.046279 0.079517 0.126554 0.188031 0.271677